Draymond Green said ‘No’ to Lauri Markkanen. Now it’s costing the Utah Jazz and Golden State Warriors

Draymond Green said ‘No’ to Lauri Markkanen. Now it’s costing the Utah Jazz and Golden State Warriors

2025-12-03sports
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Elon
Good morning Norris, I'm Elon, and this is Goose Pod for you. Today is Wednesday, December 3rd.
Taylor Weaver
And I'm Taylor Weaver. We are here to discuss a fascinating 'what if' scenario: Draymond Green said ‘No’ to Lauri Markkanen, and now it’s costing both the Utah Jazz and the Golden State Warriors.
Elon
The core of the issue is a failure in asset evaluation. Draymond Green, a key player, advised the Warriors' front office against trading for Lauri Markkanen two summers ago. He respected the talent, but not the projected cost in picks and prospects. It was a risk mitigation strategy.
Taylor Weaver
And oh, what talent it is! Markkanen is playing like a superhero, averaging over 30 points a game. He's only the second player in Jazz history to do that this early in a season. Green's logic was that you rarely win a high-stakes deal against a master negotiator like Danny Ainge.
Elon
Correct. His argument was based on historical probability. However, probability doesn't account for black swan events, like a player suddenly performing at a top-five level. The data set for his performance has fundamentally shifted, potentially invalidating the original decision.
Taylor Weaver
Exactly! It's like having a stock you decided not to buy, and then watching it soar into the stratosphere. The Warriors are left wondering what could have been, while the Jazz have a supernova on their hands that complicates their entire long-term narrative.
Elon
To understand the gravity, you must understand the NBA's business model. It's built on making individual players into global stars. This isn't just about winning games; it's about creating marketable, compelling content. A player like Markkanen is a valuable, appreciating asset.
Taylor Weaver
It's a story that goes way back! Think about the Boston Celtics trading for Bill Russell's draft rights in 1956. That single move led to eleven championships. Or when the Lakers acquired a high school kid named Kobe Bryant for their starting center. These trades aren't just roster moves; they are franchise-altering plot twists.
Elon
These teams are also scarce assets, like beachfront property. There are only 30 of them. Their valuations have increased 600% in the last decade. So, when you're trading future draft picks and young players, you are trading away chances to acquire the next foundational piece for one of these rare entities.
Taylor Weaver
And the league has done a brilliant job of selling that story globally. Over 25% of NBA players are international now, and the league has a billion viewers worldwide. A Finnish star like Markkanen doesn't just appeal to Utah; he has an entire country and continent of fans. That's a huge part of his value.
Elon
The entire system is designed to maximize the value of these star players. Since 1983, players have received about 53% of the league's gross revenue. It’s a symbiotic relationship. The league promotes the players, and the players generate the revenue. That's the context for this trade decision.
Elon
The primary conflict is a classic one: short-term certainty versus long-term potential. Draymond Green opted for the safety of keeping their existing young assets and draft picks, avoiding a high-risk negotiation with a notoriously tough executive. It was a logical, if uninspired, choice.
Taylor Weaver
But think of the story they could have written! A Curry-Markkanen duo would be the next chapter of the Splash Bros, a 7-foot sharpshooter creating chaos for defenses. That's a narrative that could lead to another title, which is the ultimate goal for the Warriors' aging core. They chose predictability over a potential epic.
Elon
Meanwhile, the Jazz face an efficiency problem. Their goal should be to acquire high-value assets in the 2026 draft. Markkanen's elite performance leads to winning more games, which worsens their draft position. He is, paradoxically, too good for their optimal long-term strategy.
Taylor Weaver
It's the ultimate Catch-22! He's winning games for a team that, from a strategic standpoint, needs to lose. The front office said they wouldn't deliberately tank, but having an All-Star playing at this level forces their hand. It’s a fascinating conflict between competitive instinct and strategic planning.
Elon
The impact on Golden State is clear. They are not viewed as serious contenders. They lack a secondary offensive weapon to alleviate the immense pressure on Stephen Curry. Acquiring a player of Markkanen's caliber could have extended Curry's championship window by reducing his physical and strategic load.
Taylor Weaver
It's a huge missed opportunity. Instead of a seamless offensive machine, they're left searching for answers. For Utah, the impact is just as profound. Every win with Markkanen could be the one that pushes them out of the top of the draft lottery, costing them a shot at a future franchise cornerstone.
Elon
The decision's ripple effect is significant. Two teams are now on suboptimal paths because of one vetoed transaction. It's a case study in the complexity of strategic planning in a dynamic system with incomplete information. One player's unforeseen development changed the entire equation.
Elon
Looking ahead, the logical move for Utah is to trade Markkanen now, while his value is at an absolute peak. It would be foolish not to capitalize on this spike to acquire the assets needed for their rebuild. His value has been fully rehabbed and is likely at its zenith.
Taylor Weaver
And the Warriors are expected to be active buyers, with over $30 million in expiring contracts to play with. The story might not be over! Though, there's a human element too. Reports say Markkanen and his family have really taken to Utah and love it there, which always adds a twist.
Elon
That's the end of today's discussion. Thank you for listening to Goose Pod. See you tomorrow.

Draymond Green vetoed a trade for Lauri Markkanen, fearing asset cost. Now, Markkanen is an MVP candidate, costing the Warriors a potential championship boost and the Jazz a higher draft pick. This episode explores asset valuation, player development, and the strategic dilemmas faced by NBA franchises.

Draymond Green said ‘No’ to Lauri Markkanen. Now it’s costing the Utah Jazz and Golden State Warriors

Read original at Yahoo Sports

In case you missed it: Lauri Markkanen is really good at basketball.Against the Chicago Bulls on Sunday night, Markkanen might as well have worn a Finnish flag as a cape and called himself “Teräsmies,” — Finnish for Superman.AdvertisementAfter trailing at the start of the fourth quarter, Markkanen scored 12 points to push the game into overtime, and in that first overtime, he hit one of the most impressive shots you will ever see on a basketball court.

Driving left, fading away and falling down, he flicked the ball up from his waist for a midrange shot near the left baseline. Somehow, the ball evaded Nikola Vucevic and found its way into the net for two points.He finished with 47 points, seven rebounds, two steals and two blocks in the double overtime win.

It wasn’t even his best performance on the young season.This was his second straight 40-point outing, his third straight of at least 35, and his seventh 30-point performance in only 13 games. His 30.6 points per game is good for fifth best in the NBA, only behind Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Tyrese Maxey.

AdvertisementAnd somehow, he is still on the Utah Jazz.Why would Draymond Green veto a potential Lauri to GSW trade?In October, ESPN’s Anthony Slater reported that future Hall of Famer Draymond Green told Warriors’ general manager Mike Dunleavey and team owner Joe Lacob, “not to green light a trade,” for the Finnish all star two summers ago.

“I’m a big fan of [Markkanen’s] game,” Green said. “But I think if you want to do something so huge you better be certain that this is the move. You usually don’t win those things against Danny Ainge. I look at history.”Instead, the Warriors waited until last trade deadline to make a major trade, picking up Jimmy Butler in a five-team deal.

So far, Butler has been a solid fit with the organization. He plays hard, he’s efficient, he’s smart enough to play with Stephen Curry, but overall the Warriors are still not serious title contenders in the eyes of most NBA experts. It would be a shock if they made it past the second round of the playoffs.

AdvertisementWould trading for Markkanen have moved the needle at all? Imagine Markkanen paired along side Curry. All the spacing produced from a Curry-Markkanen duo would be like a rebranded version of the Splash Bros. Except instead of Klay Thompson, it would’ve been a 7-footer who can also dunk on the best defenders in the league.

The Warriors would have had to give up a lot, most notably Jonathan Kuminga and every pick under the sun. But still, it’s a fun thought exercise to think how things could have played out if Markkanen found himself playing in the bay.Is Markkanen’s success bad for Utah’s future?Markkanen is too good for the Jazz right now.

If the NBA all stars were selected today, he would 100% be in. No doubt about it.AdvertisementBut he might be playing the Jazz outside of a pick. He’s is winning games for a team that, unfortunately, needs to lose.Much of the Jazz’s future plans hinge on getting one of Darryn Peterson, AJ Dybantsa or Cam Boozer in the 2026 draft.

Let’s say Markkanen continues to play at this rate and the Jazz wind up with 25-30 wins, not only do you risk not getting one of the three coveted top prospects, you risk falling out of the top eight and giving a pick to OKC, who already has an embarrassment of riches.The front office made a big deal about not deliberately tanking over the offseason, meaning that Markkanen will have less “injuries” causing him to miss games.

I am curious to see if that will really be the case, because him playing might be hurting the Jazz’s future.Regardless of how this season shakes out for the Jazz and Warriors, I think both teams could have benefited from making a deal two summers ago.

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