GitHub 首席执行官 托马斯·多姆克:软件工程师要么拥抱AI,要么就失业

GitHub 首席执行官 托马斯·多姆克:软件工程师要么拥抱AI,要么就失业

2025-08-11Technology
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马老师
徐国荣,早上好。我是马老师,欢迎收听专属于你的 Goose Pod。今天是8月12日,星期二。
雷总
我是雷总。今天我们聊一个硬核话题:GitHub的CEO托马斯·多姆克警告说,软件工程师要么拥抱AI,要么就得转行。
雷总
Let's get started。多姆克在他的博客里说得很直接:“要么拥抱AI,要么离开这个行业。” 这说明软件开发的风向彻底变了,AI工具不再是可有可无的点缀,而是正在成为核心生产力。
马老师
嗯,我认为这个说法听起来很“霸道”,但其实是金玉良言。这不像是在下最后通牒,更像是在递给你一本武林秘籍。要么练,要么就只能在旁边看着别人成为高手,你懂的。时代的浪潮来了,你不能假装看不见。
雷总
没错。他还把开发者的进化分了四个阶段,像我们做产品迭代一样,逻辑非常清晰。从一开始的“AI怀疑者”,到“AI探索者”,然后是“AI协作者”,最高阶段是“AI战略家”,能够指挥多个AI代理完成复杂任务。
马老师
这个划分很有意思。本质上就是从一个“码农”,一个招式固定的“打手”,升级成一个懂得排兵布阵、运筹帷幄的“大将军”。这考验的就不再是蛮力,而是你的智慧和格局了。你的价值,从写代码本身,转移到了如何驾驭AI。
雷总
是的,AI正在重塑整个软件开发生命周期(SDLC)。从最早的需求规划,AI就能帮你分析数据、模拟场景。到开发阶段,像GitHub Copilot这样的工具,可以自动生成代码、修复bug,效率极高,把开发者从重复劳动中解放出来。
马老师
这股风不是突然刮起来的,对吧?我认为,这是技术发展的必然。我们早就从早期那种刀耕火种的编程方式,进化到了使用各种高级工具。AI,就是我们这个时代最锋利的“神兵利器”。它让开发者从“代码实现者”变成了“技术协奏者”。
雷总
完全同意。你看,数据显示,Copilot能帮开发者节省大约40%的时间。这省下来的时间,就可以用来思考更宏观的架构设计、系统优化和创新。这就像我们以前需要自己手动装配零件,现在有了全自动的生产线,我们就能专注于设计更好的产品。
马老师
对,以前我们比的是谁的“招式”更熟练,一招一式都自己来。现在,高手比的是“内功”,是如何调动AI这个强大的“真气”,去解决更复杂、更有创造力的问题。这是一种根本性的转变,你懂的。
雷总
是的,所以说,开发者的角色正在进化。我们不再是单纯的建筑工人,而更像是总设计师,与AI这个超级助手一起工作,确保最终交付的不仅仅是一段代码,而是一个高质量、有创新性的解决方案。这是一个激动人心的变化。
马老师
说到这里,很多人最关心的问题就来了:AI这么厉害,是不是要来抢我们的饭碗了?技术越强大,这种焦虑感就越强。我认为,这个问题不能简单地看作“替代”,而是一种“升级换代”。你的“武功”得升级了。
雷总
对,与其说是“岗位消失”,不如说是“岗位转型”。你看,市场上已经出现了像“AI审计师”、“AI集成师”这样的新职位。AI确实能自动化很多初级的编码工作,但对于复杂的系统设计、战略决策、还有AI模型的训练和监督,人的需求反而更大了。
马老师
而且,能力越大,责任越大。这里面还有一个“武德”的问题。AI可能会在训练数据里学到一些偏见,导致不公平。开发者现在不仅要懂技术,还要有伦理意识,确保我们创造出来的东西是向善的,而不是一把可能伤人的“魔刀”。
雷总
这个观点非常重要。我们工程师现在不仅要对代码负责,更要对技术带来的社会影响负责。确保AI的决策过程透明、公平、可解释,这本身就成了一项新的、极具挑战性的工作,需要顶尖的人才来完成。
雷总
我们用数据说话。麦肯锡的研究报告预测,AI能给软件工程的年度开销带来20%到45%的生产力提升。微软自己的数据显示,用了Copilot的开发者,完成任务的速度快了56%。这个数字是非常惊人的,直接体现为经济效益。
马老师
你看,这就意味着整个行业的“武功”水平都在飞速提升。过去,你可能因为多会几门“独门绝技”而领先。但现在,当人人都有了AI这本“武功秘籍”时,比拼的关键就变了,变成了谁能更好地理解和指挥这个强大的力量。
雷总
是的,核心竞争力正在从“写代码”转向“设计代码”和“审查代码”。就像GitHub的CEO说的,知道如何判断AI给出的答案是否正确,将变得至关重要。这是一种更高维度的能力,也是未来最有价值的能力。
雷总
展望未来,开发者需要向“全栈”进化,甚至成为“AI栈开发者”。也就是说,你不仅要懂前端、后端,还要懂AI模型如何工作、如何集成,甚至要考虑AI能力的成本和商业影响,这是一个全新的技能树。
马老师
我认为,未来是人与AI共舞的时代。AI不是你的对手,而是你的“舞伴”。最成功的工程师,是那些能把AI当作战略伙伴,共同创造价值的人。这考验的是一种协同合作的智慧。
马老师
好了,今天的讨论就到这里。感谢 徐国荣 收听Goose Pod。
雷总
拥抱变化,我们明天再见。

## GitHub CEO Urges Software Engineers to Embrace AI or Face Career Obsolescence **Report Provider:** The Times of India (TOI Tech Desk) **Date:** August 8, 2025 (Published) **Topic:** Technology / Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Software Development ### Key Findings and Conclusions: GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke has issued a strong directive to software engineers, emphasizing that **embracing AI tools is no longer optional but essential for career survival.** He stated, "Either you have to embrace the AI, or you get out of your career." This underscores a significant shift in the software development landscape, where AI is rapidly becoming central to the entire coding process, from writing and reviewing to deployment. Dohmke argues that AI should be viewed as a **powerful collaborator** rather than a threat. The traditional role of a software engineer is evolving, with AI-powered tools like GitHub Copilot automating routine coding tasks. This automation frees up developers to focus on higher-level problem-solving, prompt engineering, system design, and quality control. ### Significant Trends and Changes: * **Evolution of Developer Roles:** Dohmke outlines four stages of developer evolution in the AI era: * **AI Skeptic:** Dabbling with code completions and basic prompts. * **AI Explorer:** Using AI for debugging and boilerplate generation. * **AI Collaborator:** Co-creating with AI across multi-step tasks. * **AI Strategist:** Delegating and verifying complex implementations with multi-agent workflows. * **Shift from Code Production to Code Enablement:** Developers are moving from writing code to architecting and validating AI-generated solutions. The focus is shifting towards becoming "code enablers" or "Creative Directors of Code." * **AI-Generated Code Expectation:** A compilation of interviews with 22 AI-savvy developers suggests that **90% of code written by AI is feasible and expected within the next 2-5 years.** * **Half of interviewed developers** believe a 90% AI-written code scenario is likely within **5 years**. * The **other half** expect this scenario within **2 years**. * **Reinvention of Computer Science Education:** Dohmke calls for a reinvention of computer science education to include AI fluency, agent orchestration, and human-AI collaboration as core skills. ### Important Recommendations: * **Embrace AI Tools:** Software engineers must actively learn and leverage AI tools to enhance productivity and innovation. * **Adapt to Evolving Roles:** Developers should prepare for a transition from direct code production to higher-level strategic roles involving AI collaboration and validation. * **Focus on Higher-Level Skills:** Cultivate skills in prompt engineering, system design, and quality control, which are becoming increasingly critical. * **Educational Institutions:** Computer science programs need to integrate AI-centric skills into their curricula. ### Notable Risks and Concerns: The primary risk highlighted is **career obsolescence** for software engineers who fail to adapt to the AI revolution. Those who do not embrace AI tools and the evolving nature of their roles risk being left behind. ### Material Financial Data: No specific financial data or figures were presented in this news report. ### Key Quotes: * "Either you have to embrace the AI, or you get out of your career." - Thomas Dohmke, GitHub CEO. * "Maybe we become less code producers and more code enablers. My next title might be Creative Director of Code." - An interviewed developer. In conclusion, GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke's message is a clear call to action for software engineers to proactively engage with AI. The future of software development, as envisioned by Dohmke and the developers he interviewed, involves a symbiotic relationship between humans and AI, where engineers leverage AI to augment their capabilities and redefine their professional identities.

GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke to software engineers: Either you ..., or get out of your career - The Times of India

Read original at The Times of India

GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke has issued a stark warning for software engineers. In a blog post titled ‘Developers, Reinvented’ Dohmke has urged the software engineers to either embrace the AI revolution or risk their careers. “Either you have to embrace the Al, or you get out of your career” said the GitHub CEO.

The statement made by Dohmke clearly indicates the growing shift in the software development landscape. He stresses on the fact that AI tools are no longer optional and are slowing becoming central to how a code is written, reviewed and deployed. Thomas Dohmke emphasis that the traditional role of a software engineer is evolving and with the rise of AI-powered tools such as GitHub Copilot, routine coding tasks are becoming increasingly automated, which means that developers now have more free time and they can now focus on higher-level problem solving and more.

Developers reinvented: From coders to AI strategistsIn the blog post, GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke has also outlined four stages of evolution of developers in the AI era:- AI Skeptic – Dabbling with code completions and basic prompts. - AI Explorer – Using AI for debugging and boilerplate generation- AI Collaborator – Co-creating with AI across multi-step tasks- AI Strategist – Delegating and verifying complex implementations with multi-agent workflowsAt the highest level, developers are shifting from writing code to architecting and validating AI-generated solutions, focusing on prompt engineering, system design, and quality control.

Thomas Dohmke essentially argues that engineers should not view AI as a threat but as a powerful collaborator tool. The "either you..." part of his statement implies a choice: either you learn to leverage AI to become more productive and innovative, or you will be left behind.The future of software development The blog post which is a compilation of interviews with 22 AI-savvy developers suggest that 90% of the code written by AI not only feasible but expected within the next 2–5 years.

“When we asked developers about the prospect of AI writing 90% of their code, they replied favourably. Half of them believe a 90% AI-written code scenario is not only feasible but likely within 5 years, while half of them expect it within 2 years,” reads the post.Thomas Dohmke emphasis so rather of fearing obsolescence, engineers have chance to reinvent their role.

“Having experienced the skill and effort that goes into effectively managing the work of agents, it was now clear to them this will be the value-add activity, rather than leading implementation. “Maybe we become less code producers and more code enablers. My next title might be Creative Director of Code,” Thomas Dohmke wrote, citing one of the developers who GitHub interviewed.

Along with this, the blog post also calls for a reinvention in computer science education. Thomas Dohmke urge institutions to teach AI fluency, agent orchestration, and human-AI collaboration as core skills."Developers worldwide are already moving from skepticism to confidence, reshaping their roles, practices, and mindsets as they partner with AI.

For them, what started as fear of AI replacing them is switching to pragmatically embracing the ambitious reality of AI, viewing it as a growth opportunity. As we build the tools of tomorrow we can usher developers through this reinvention of their role in ways that are intuitive, delightful, and cater to developers’ curiosity, keeping them fulfilled and happy during the transition," concluded Thomas Dohmke.

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