香港抗洪:迎1884年以来最强8月降雨

香港抗洪:迎1884年以来最强8月降雨

2025-08-07Technology
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马老师
早上好徐国荣,我是马老师,这里是专属于你的Goose Pod。今天是8月8日,星期五。
雷总
我是雷总,我们今天来聊聊香港抗洪:迎1884年以来最强8月降雨。
马老师
我们开始吧。雷总,这次香港的雨,可不是简单的下雨,你懂的。在我看来,这就像是武林高手过招,老天爷突然使出了一招“大力金刚指”,直戳香港的“命门”。单日降雨量超过350毫米,这是140多年来的最高纪录。
雷总
没错,这个数据非常“硬核”。我看了下报告,黑色暴雨警告持续了将近12个小时,这在香港是非常罕见的。整个城市,从交通到股市,都受到了影响。就像我们的产品做压力测试,一下子把请求量拉到峰值,看看系统会不会崩。
马老师
哈哈,你这个比喻很形象。整个城市就是一个巨大的“产品”,每一位市民都是“用户”。这次突如其来的暴雨,就是一次极端条件下的“用户体验”测试。结果呢?有些地方显然“卡顿”了,甚至“宕机”了。
雷总
是的,视频里那些水流,简直像瀑布一样冲刷着街道和地铁站。很多车辆被淹,学校停课,连医院的门诊都关闭了。这说明我们的“产品”在应对极端“并发请求”时,后台的“服务器”和“数据库”还是有点扛不住。
马老师
说到这,我们就得看看香港的“出厂设置”了。香港这个地方,就像一个天生骨骼惊奇的练武奇才。它地处亚热带,夏天本来就雨水充沛,高温高湿。这是它的“基本盘”,也是它的“宿命”。你懂的,环境决定了你的起点。
雷总
我查了一下数据,香港8月份的平均降雨量是453.2毫米,年平均降雨量更是高达2220毫米。所以,香港本身就是在一个“多雨”的环境里。他们为了应对这个情况,修建了非常复杂的排水系统,这套“基础设施”可以说是他们最核心的“代码”之一。
马老师
没错,这套代码写了上百年。但是,过去的“代码”是基于过去的数据和经验。这就好比一本旧武功秘籍,练到第九层已经天下无敌。可现在江湖变了,对手的武功路数全变了,你还守着那本旧秘籍,就可能会吃大亏。
雷总
我完全同意。气候变化就是那个最大的变量,它让过去的“数据模型”失效了。以前可能是几十年一遇的暴雨,现在可能几年就来一次。就像我们做产品迭代,如果用户的使用场景发生了根本变化,你还守着原来的功能和界面,肯定会被淘汰。香港的这套“防洪系统V1.0”,现在面临的是“用户需求”的剧变。
马老师
这就引出了一个核心的矛盾:是“守旧”还是“革新”?香港的基建设施,很多是按照“200年一遇”的标准设计的,这在当时是顶尖的。但现在,一场“500年一遇”的暴雨说来就来。这就好比你用倚天剑去挡导弹,武器本身是神兵利器,但它应付不了新的打击维度。
雷总
是的,这是技术和现实的冲突。更深层次的,还有城市发展和自然环境的冲突。香港寸土寸金,不断地填海、向山要地。高密度的城市建筑改变了地表径流,这无疑加大了排水系统的压力。我们追求极致的“用户增长”和“空间利用率”,但服务器的“物理极限”是客观存在的。
马老师
你说的太对了。而且,我认为还有一个冲突,是“效率”和“韧性”之间的冲突。香港作为一个金融中心,追求的是极致的效率。但过于追求效率,有时会牺牲掉系统的“冗余”和“备份”。当黑天鹅事件来临时,一个高效率但脆弱的系统,可能比一个效率稍低但韧性十足的系统,崩溃得更快。
马老师
这次暴雨带来的影响,可不只是交通堵塞、市民狼狈这么简单。在我看来,它像一面镜子,照出了城市在极端气候面前的脆弱性。经济损失是实打实的,但更重要的是对信心的冲击。你懂的,信心比黄金更重要。
雷总
是的,我看到数据说,初步的保险索赔金额就高达15亿港币。对于一个商业社会,这意味着直接的经济成本。而且,学校、法院、部分商业活动暂停,这种无形的损失更大。它会让外界重新评估在这里运营的“风险系数”。就像一个App,如果频繁宕机,用户就会失去信任,转投竞品。
马老师
没错,而且这种影响是链式的。它会考验整个社会供应链的“弹性”。一个环节出问题,会不会导致整个链条的崩断?我认为,这次事件最大的启示是,我们必须把“气候韧性”作为一个核心的“KPI”,去衡量一个城市、一个企业的未来价值。
雷总
未来怎么做?香港政府已经计划投入80亿港币升级排水系统,还会用大数据和AI来做预警。这就是典型的“技术驱动”解决方案,通过升级“硬件”和“算法”,来应对新的挑战,我觉得这是非常务实的一步。
马老师
技术是“术”,但更重要的是“道”。我认为,未来需要的是一种系统性的思维转变。从个人到城市管理者,都要意识到,我们和自然不是对抗关系,而是一个“命运共同体”。你必须敬畏自然,顺势而为,才能立于不败之地。
马老师
今天的讨论就到这里。感谢收听 Goose Pod。
雷总
明天见。

## Hong Kong Hit by Record-Breaking August Rainfall, Causing Widespread Disruption **Report Provider:** Al Jazeera English **Date:** August 5, 2025 **News Topic:** Weather, Floods, Climate Change ### Key Findings and Conclusions: Hong Kong experienced its heaviest daily rainfall for August in over 140 years on August 5, 2025. The extreme weather event led to significant disruptions across the territory, including the closure of schools and courts, interruptions to hospital services, and widespread road flooding. Meteorologists link these extreme rainfall events and catastrophic flooding to climate change, highlighting the growing challenges for both Hong Kong and mainland China. ### Key Statistics and Metrics: * **Daily Rainfall:** More than **350mm (13.8 inches)** of rain was recorded by 2 PM local time on Tuesday, August 5. * **Historical Context:** This is the **highest daily rainfall for August since 1884**, marking over 140 years of record-breaking precipitation. * **Lightning Strikes:** Over **9,600 cloud-to-ground lightning strikes** were recorded between 5 AM and noon on the same day. * **Rainstorm Warnings:** This was the **fourth "black" rainstorm warning** issued in just eight days, setting a new record for the most frequent issuance of the city's highest weather alert within a single year. * **Airport Disruptions:** Airports across the region reported **cancellation rates of around 20 percent** on Tuesday. * **Typical Rainfall:** Hong Kong typically receives an annual average of **2,200mm (86.6 inches)** of rainfall, with more than half usually falling between June and August. ### Important Recommendations: * The city's Chief Secretary for Administration, Eric Chan, urged the public to **stay alert**. * Employers were advised to **consider flexible working arrangements** that prioritize employee safety. ### Significant Trends or Changes: * The frequency of the highest weather alert ("black" rainstorm warning) has broken a record, indicating a potential trend of more intense and frequent extreme weather events. ### Notable Risks or Concerns: * **Infrastructure Disruption:** Schools, courts, and hospitals were directly impacted, leading to closures and service interruptions. * **Traffic and Safety:** Serious road flooding and traffic congestion were anticipated, with speed limits lowered due to poor visibility. Cars were reported submerged in water. * **Economic Losses:** Such floods can displace thousands and threaten billions of dollars in economic losses. * **Climate Change Impact:** The extreme rainfall is linked to climate change, underscoring a growing environmental concern. * **Fatalities in Neighboring Regions:** The storms followed deadly flash floods in Southern China over the weekend, which resulted in five deaths in Guangdong province and required a large-scale search operation. ### Material Financial Data: * No specific financial data related to direct economic losses from this event was provided in the excerpt, but the potential for "billions of dollars in economic losses" was mentioned as a consequence of such floods.

Hong Kong battles floods amid heaviest August rainfall since 1884

Read original at Al Jazeera English

More than 350mm (13.8 inches) of rain was recorded – the highest daily rainfall for August in over 140 years.Hong Kong has been hit with record-breaking rains that have seen schools and courts shuttered, hospitals disrupted, and roads badly flooded.More than 350mm (13.8 inches) of rain had drenched the territory by 2pm (06:00 GMT) on Tuesday, the city’s weather authorities said – the highest daily rainfall for August since 1884.

The storms follow deadly flash floods in Southern China over the weekend, which left five dead in Guangdong province and prompted a large-scale search operation involving more than 1,300 rescuers.Videos showed water cascading down steep hillsides, breaking into whitewater streams as they rushed down the many staircases linking Hong Kong’s multitiered cityscape.

Weather authorities extended their highest “black” rainstorm warning until 5pm local time (09:00 GMT).This was the fourth such warning issued in just eight days, breaking the record for the most frequent issuance of the city’s highest weather alert within a single year, according to China’s state news agency Xinhua.

More than 9,600 cloud-to-ground lightning strikes were recorded between 5am (21:00 GMT) and noon, Hong Kong’s weather observatory said.The water had risen to ankle height outside Hong Kong’s largest hospital, as medical authorities announced they would be closing clinics across the city due to the downpour.

Meanwhile, cars were reported submerged in water.The weather service warned on Tuesday afternoon that a “persistent rainstorm will cause serious road flooding and traffic congestion”.The city’s Chief Secretary for Administration Eric Chan urged the public to stay alert and said employers should consider flexible working arrangements that prioritise employee safety.

Airports across the region reported cancellation rates of around 20 percent on Tuesday, according to data from Flightmaster, while speed limits were lowered due to poor visibility.Extreme rainfall and catastrophic flooding, which meteorologists link to climate change, pose mounting challenges for both Hong Kong and mainland China.

In addition to the deaths and injuries, such floods can displace thousands and threaten billions of dollars in economic losses.Hong Kong typically receives an annual average of 2,200mm (86.6 inches) of rainfall, more than half of which usually falls from June through August.

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