评论:特朗普“船只袭击”背后的弥天大谎

评论:特朗普“船只袭击”背后的弥天大谎

2025-12-03Donald Trump
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马老师
早上好 Norris,我是马老师,欢迎收听专为你打造的 Goose Pod。今天是12月3日,星期三,上午8点03分。今天我们要聊一个很有意思的 topic,关于特朗普和他的“船只袭击”。
李白
天地玄黄,有客来兮。吾乃李白。今朝有酒,且听我与马兄,共论那“无端风雨,骇浪惊涛”之事。看看这弥天大谎背后,究竟藏着何等鬼蜮伎俩!
马老师
没错,这个事情的 core event,核心事件,就是特朗普政府在加勒比海和太平洋,对所谓的“毒品走私船”进行了一系列军事打击,你懂的,造成了至少66人死亡。官方的说法是为了打击毒品。
李白
六十六条性命,竟如草芥!“君不见,青海头,古来白骨无人收。”未加审问,不辨真伪,便以雷霆万钧之势,行此霸王之举,何其毒也!这与强盗何异?
马老师
很多媒体和专家也提出了质疑,认为这些打击缺乏证据,完全不符合法律程序。一位叫 Fred Mellor 的读者就说,这根本就是非法的,没有证据,没有正当程序,这简直就是 power projection,一种权力投射。
李白
权力投射?哼,不过是“欲加之罪,何患无辞”!此等行径,名为缉盗,实则炫耀武力,威逼邻邦。正如古之恶吏,指鹿为马,欺瞒天下。可叹世人,竟多信之。
马老师
而且你看,这和他一贯的行事风格是 match 的。他对待批评他的人,比如前国家安全顾问博尔顿,也是毫不留情。联邦调查局突袭博尔顿的家,这不就是一种系统性的报复嘛。他把政治工具变成了个人恩怨的武器。
李白
“睚眦之怨,必报于眼前”,此乃小人之心。大丈夫当“安能摧眉折腰事权贵”!将国之公器,用作私家鹰犬,此非王者之道,乃是末路狂奔之兆。可悲,可叹!
马老师
是的,他把这种报复心理变成了一种商业模式,或者说,一种政治模式。对他来说,复仇的快感可能比金钱和贪婪更重要。你反对我,我就要用尽一切办法让你不好过,这是他 playbook 里的核心一页。
李白
“怨毒之心,甚于蛇蝎。”此人心中丘壑,非雄鹰盘旋,乃毒虫滋生之地。其所谓“成功”,不过是建立在他人废墟之上。此等“伟业”,不值一哂,徒增笑耳!
马老师
所以,这次的船只袭击事件,我认为不能孤立地看。它完全符合他那种“如果你搞我,我就要更狠地搞你”的逻辑。这是一个更大的叙事的一部分,一个关于权力和个人意志凌驾于法律之上的故事。
马老师
要理解这个事,我们得看看它的 background,它的历史背景。其实,美国打击毒品的战争军事化,不是从特朗普开始的。早在1989年,老布什总统时代,就已经把国防部拉进来了。
李白
哦?愿闻其详。莫非此“以战止战”之策,乃是祖传秘方?“秦王扫六合,虎视何雄哉”,然其后之祸,亦源于此。不知这“秘方”又酿出了何等苦酒?
马老师
当时他们成立了国家药物管制政策办公室,动用军队进行侦测,训练外国部队,还搞了个加勒比海反毒品特遣队。这本质上就是把一个执法问题,升级成了一个军事问题,你懂的。这是一个很重要的 a turning point。
李白
原来如此。名不正,则言不顺;言不顺,则事不成。将捕快之事,交予兵戈,岂非“杀鸡用牛刀”?乱其章法,混其黑白,后患无穷,今日之乱象,早已埋下伏笔。
马老师
没错。然后时间快进到2025年,特朗普开始了一系列升级操作。他先是签署行政令,把一些拉美毒枭集团,比如委内瑞拉的“特伦·德·阿拉瓜”,定义为外国恐怖组织。这就为军事打击提供了所谓的法律基础。
李白
哈哈,好一个“法律基础”!此乃“掩耳盗铃”之计。强为之名,便可肆行杀戮之事?“名可名,非常名”,此等虚名,不过是为血腥暴行披上一件华丽的外袍罢了。
马老师
对,然后就是一系列的 build-up,军事集结。8月份,美国向加勒比海部署了大量军舰和人员,号称是几十年来最大规模。同时,把对委内瑞拉总统马杜罗的悬赏提高到了五千万美元,指控他搞“毒品恐怖主义”。
李白
“山雨欲来风满楼”啊!陈兵列阵,高额悬赏,名为反毒,实则剑指马杜罗。此乃“项庄舞剑,意在沛公”。天下之人,岂能皆被蒙蔽?只是可怜了那些海上亡魂。
马老师
正是如此。所以从9月份开始,第一枪就打响了。9月2日,美军对一艘据称是“特伦·德·阿拉瓜”的船只发动空袭,打死11人。特朗普还说,“好戏还在后头”。这之后,一系列的打击就接连不断了。
李白
“一将功成万骨枯”!他口中之“好戏”,乃是无数生灵涂炭之悲剧。视人命如嬉戏,轻启战端,此等狂悖之徒,若为君王,实乃天下之大不幸!其心可诛!
马老师
更关键的是,到了10月1日,特朗普正式向国会宣布,美国正处于一场与“非法战斗人员”,也就是毒枭的“非国际性武装冲突”中。这就绕过了国会的战争授权,为他的行动彻底松了绑。这是一个非常危险的信号。
李白
“将在外,君命有所不受”,他这是自封为将,自授王命!绕开朝堂,独断专行,此乃动摇国本之举。视法度如无物,凭一己之好恶行事,其祸不远矣。
马老师
所以你看,整个事件的发展脉络是非常清晰的。从将毒品问题军事化,到将毒枭定义为恐怖分子,再到宣布进入“武装冲突”,一步一步地为最终的军事打击铺平了道路,这是一个完整的 a setup。
马老师
这里面最大的 conflict,就是动机问题。官方的说法是为了阻止芬太尼流入美国,但很多证据表明,这更像是一个借口。比如参议员卢比奥,他就在其中扮演了很重要的角色。他最初想用人权问题说服特朗普,但没成功。
李白
哦?此人亦是说客?“口蜜腹剑,笑里藏刀”。以仁义为幌,实则包藏祸心。未能说动君心,便改换门庭,另寻他途。此等政客,唯利是图,何曾有半分真心为国为民?
马老师
后来卢比奥就换了个说法,他利用2020年司法部对马杜罗的起诉,把他包装成一个“毒品恐怖主义头目”。这个说法正中特朗普下怀。特朗普本来就对毒品深恶痛绝,加上委内瑞拉有巨大的石油利益,这个理由就非常有吸引力。
李白
原来是“投其所好”!“利”字当头,仁义道德皆可抛。以缉毒为名,行夺油之实,此乃“明修栈道,暗度陈仓”。世间多少纷争,皆因此“利”字而起!“长风破浪会有时”,只怕此风是歪风,此浪是恶浪!
马老师
完全正确。而且,美国情报界自己都承认,缺乏证据表明委内瑞拉与芬太尼生产有关。芬太尼主要来自墨西哥,通过陆路进入美国。所以,打击加勒比海的船只,对于解决芬太尼危机,根本就是 a drop in the bucket,杯水车薪。
李白
“南辕北辙,缘木求鱼”!病根在陆,却问罪于水;毒源在墨,却扬兵于委。此非治病,乃是借病杀人!其心昭然若揭,天下人皆可见。可笑,可鄙!
马老师
国会内部也有很多反对声音。比如参议员马克·华纳就说,政府不公开透明地解释其法律依据,已经损害了美国公众和拉美伙伴的信任。你搞军事打击,又不拿出证据,这让大家怎么信你?
李白
“水至清则无鱼,人至察则无徒”。他这潭水,浑浊不堪,正是为了方便自己摸鱼。若事事皆公之于众,其奸计岂不败露?故而宁可失信于天下,也要一意孤行。
马老师
所以,整个事件的冲突点就非常清楚了:这是一个以国家安全和反毒为名,实际上却服务于政治议程、经济利益和个人好恶的军事行动。这是一个典型的 big lie,弥天大谎,你懂的。
马老师
说到 impact,这个事件的影响是多方面的。首先,最直接的就是加剧了华盛顿和加拉加斯之间的紧张关系。特朗普政府的军事集结和打击行动,几乎把两国推到了战争的边缘。这是一个非常危险的 situation。
李白
“兵者,凶器也,圣人不得已而用之”。轻启战端,必遭反噬。两国交恶,百姓遭殃。一旦战火燃起,便是“伏尸百万,流血漂橹”之景。此等后果,岂是发动者所能承担?
马老师
其次,它严重损害了国际法。很多法律专家认为,这些未经审判的致命打击,违反了国际法,也违反了美国国内禁止谋杀和暗杀的法律。这开了一个非常坏的先例,等于是在说,只要我认为你是坏人,我就可以在任何地方消灭你。
李白
无法无天,莫过于此!王法何在?天理何存?“天网恢恢,疏而不漏”,此等逆天而行之举,终将自食其果。今日之霸道,便是明日之祸根。失道寡助,天下共击之!
马老师
对美国的盟友关系也造成了冲击。比如哥伦比亚,本来是美国的盟友,但因为一些遇难者是哥伦比亚渔民,他们的总统佩特罗就和特朗普发生了激烈冲突,特朗普甚至还制裁了佩特罗。这简直就是 in-fighting,内讧。
李白
“得道多助,失道寡助”。为一己之私,不惜与友邦反目。众叛亲离,乃是必然之局。今日之盟友,或为明日之仇雠。待到四面楚歌之时,悔之晚矣!
马老师
所以,整体来看,这个行动不仅没有解决所谓的毒品问题,反而制造了更多的敌人,破坏了地区稳定,还损害了美国自身的法律和道义形象。这是一个典型的 lose-lose situation,双输的局面。
马老师
展望 future,未来的走向,其实充满了不确定性。特朗普政府已经公开表示,会考虑对委内瑞拉境内的陆地目标进行打击。这意味着冲突有可能进一步升级,从海上打击扩展到地面行动。
李白
“得寸进尺,贪得无厌”。海上之风波未平,又欲燃陆上之烽火。此举若成,则两国再无转圜余地。生灵之浩劫,恐将至矣。苍天在上,岂能坐视此等狂人乱世?
马老师
委内瑞拉方面也已经向俄罗斯、中国和伊朗寻求军事援助。如果这些大国介入,局势就会变得更加复杂,可能会演变成一场代理人战争。这对于整个西半球的稳定来说,都是一个巨大的威胁,a huge threat。
李白
“一波未平,一波又起”。强权相争,小国遭殃。棋盘之上,走卒之命,何其轻贱!只盼棋手尚存一丝悲悯,莫让这天下苍生,尽作焦土。我辈唯有“举杯邀明月”,祈愿和平。
马老师
所以,关键还是要看美国国内的制衡力量,比如国会,能否有效地约束总统的权力。但目前看来,情况并不乐观。我们能做的,就是不断地揭示真相,用事实去对抗那些弥天大谎。你懂的,这才是我们媒体人的责任。
马老师
好了,今天的讨论就到这里。我认为,最重要的 takeaway 就是,要警惕那些以简单口号包装的复杂谎言。感谢 Norris 的收听,这里是 Goose Pod,我们明天再见。
李白
“事了拂衣去,深藏身与名”。愿今日之言,能化作清风,吹散迷雾。待明日,我等再来“痛饮狂歌空度日”,笑看人间风云。再会!

特朗普政府以打击毒品为名,在加勒比海和太平洋发动军事打击,造成多人死亡。节目认为此举缺乏证据,违反国际法,是权力投射和政治操纵,而非真正解决毒品问题。事件加剧地区紧张,损害美国形象,未来走向充满不确定性。

Opinion: The big lie behind Donald Trump’s boat strikes

Read original at The Globe and Mail

Open this photo in gallery:People sit at a Trinidad and Tobago port. The White House has reportedly expanded patrols to Caribbean countries, such as Trinidad and Tobago, as it undergoes military strikes off the Venezuelan coast against small boats to deter drug smuggling.Joe Raedle/Getty ImagesTimothy Snyder is the inaugural chair in modern European history at the Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy at the University of Toronto and a permanent fellow at the Institute for Human Sciences in Vienna.

When announcing an aggressive policy, U.S. President Donald Trump typically offers some grotesque justification – a nonsensical fiction that is supposed to stick in our minds as a rationale for violence. The more we swallow these lies now, the harder it will be to question future falsehoods. This is the magic of the Big Lie, as Hitler explained in Mein Kampf: Tell a whopper so outrageous that people simply cannot believe it is untrue.

Hitler’s biggest lie was to claim that an international Jewish conspiracy was the source of Germany’s woes. In 1939, he and his propagandists spread blatant falsehoods about Poland as well – that it did not really exist as a state, and that it was the aggressor that had triggered the Second World War.

Mr. Trump’s big lies are almost too numerous to count. Perhaps the most versatile is his policy focus is on curbing the illicit fentanyl trade. Early in his second term, Mr. Trump falsely claimed that Canada had attacked the United States by allowing fentanyl to flow freely across the border, a pretext for imposing tariffs on Canadian exports.

Opinion: Canada is not to blame for America’s fentanyl crisisBut in the past few months, the White House has constructed an even more sinister geopolitical fantasy: military strikes on small boats in international waters are necessary to deter drug smuggling. These attacks, which many experts view as patently illegal, have been clustered off the coast of Venezuela and have killed at least 65 people so far.

The extrajudicial killing of alleged narcotics smugglers is less about drug trafficking and more about power projection – and maybe even regime change. Although videos of the bombings have become social-media fodder, there is no evidence that the targets were drug traffickers. Moreover, the Trump administration has reportedly authorized covert CIA action in Venezuela and deployed its most advanced aircraft carrier to the Caribbean Sea.

This display of power is intended to serve as political spectacle. The danger is that it could escalate into an unwinnable, open-ended conflict. The tragedy is that the opioid crisis has been an essential element of the American experience for the past quarter-century. The U.S. has the world’s highest rate of opioid deaths, owing largely to the profit-driven “health care” system that guides people toward pain medication but does not incentivize the intensive, long-term care required to treat addiction.

The crisis began because of a money-making scheme by Purdue Pharma, the U.S. pharmaceutical company that developed and aggressively marketed the popular opioid painkiller OxyContin.Opinion: How the ‘discovery’ of fentanyl changed North AmericaThe Americans living at the epicentres of the addiction crisis tend to vote Republican; without their support, Mr.

Trump would never have been elected. Mr. Trump and Mr. Vance are attuned to the opioid epidemic, in the sense that they see the wellspring of misery as a political resource that can be directed against an enemy of choice – whether an ally like Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, or an adversary like Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.

In his 2016 memoir Hillbilly Elegy, Mr. Vance recounts how his mother, a nurse with easy access to prescription drugs, was addicted to pharmaceuticals. But his political messaging on immigration and security has spun a different story, with Mr. Vance blaming other countries – “the poison coming across our border” – for her travails.

It follows that Americans must view their addictions as an attack from outside. It is important to understand the psychology Mr. Trump and Mr. Vance are exploiting. Addicts tend to blame others for their condition. The rise of the far right in U.S. politics has elevated this mindset to a national platform.

The belief that someone else must be responsible for the country’s problems has come to inform foreign policy, with the Trump administration concocting ever more absurd stories – for example, that each strike on a Venezuelan boat saves 25,000 American lives. Open this photo in gallery:In his 2016 memoir, JD Vance says his mother, a nurse with easy access to prescription drugs, became addicted to pharmaceuticals.

As Vice President, however, Vance blames other countries for funneling drugs into the U.S.Gerald Herbert/The Associated PressLies work because they shift blame. Holding other countries responsible for the opioid crisis is an attractive form of moral outsourcing for Americans. But fiction on such a grand scale requires an entire alternative reality to be constructed around it.

Mr. Trump and his administration are training the press and the American public to associate the boat strikes with stopping the flow of fentanyl and other drugs – a prime example of the falsehoods that imperialists tell before launching doomed wars of choice. Wars begin with words, which implies that words must be taken seriously before conflict erupts.

Only by calling out the big liars and telling the small truths can we have any hope of restraining Mr. Trump’s increasingly aggressive presidency. Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2025. www.project-syndicate.org

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