特朗普促成高加索和平方案

特朗普促成高加索和平方案

2025-08-21Donald Trump
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小撒
老王,中午好,我是小撒。欢迎收听专为您打造的 Goose Pod。今天是8月21日,星期四。
诗仙李白
幸会,吾乃诗仙李白。今日你我二人,共论高加索和平之事。
小撒
没错,咱们开门见山!就在8月8号,特朗普在白宫当起了“和事佬”,让亚美尼亚和阿塞拜疆这两个斗了几十年的“老冤家”坐下来签了个和平协议。这可真是历史性的一刻啊!
诗仙李白
然也!两国烽烟暂歇,止戈为武。此番白宫之会,名为和平,实则暗流涌动。更闻亚美尼亚将辟新路,以特朗普之名冠之,曰“国际和平与繁荣之路”,此举意味深长。
小撒
“特朗普国际和平与繁荣之路”,简称TRIPP,这名字可真够直白的!特朗普本人都说“深感荣幸”。这不仅仅是一条路,更像是美国在高加索地区插下的一面旗帜,直接影响了该地区的力量格局。
诗仙李白
以己为名,昭告天下,此乃帝王心术也。一条路,连接两国,亦可隔断一方。高加索风云,因此路而再起波澜。此中玄机,绝非“荣幸”二字可以道尽。
小撒
说到玄机,就得聊聊这背后的故事了。亚美尼亚和阿塞拜疆的矛盾,核心是纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫地区,简称“纳卡地区”,这地方的归属问题,就像一根刺,扎在两国之间快四十年了。
诗仙李白
四十载干戈未休,可见其怨之深,结之固。此地本是亚美尼亚人之家园,却划于阿塞拜疆之图。苏维埃巨厦倾颓,纷争顿起,战火遂燃,至今未息。犹如累卵之危,一触即发。
小撒
过去啊,一直都是俄罗斯在中间调停。毕竟是“老大哥”,自家后院的事儿得管。可自从2022年俄乌冲突全面爆发,俄罗斯自己都分身乏术了,在高加索地区的影响力自然就大不如前了。
诗仙李白
昔日之调停者,今成局中之人,自顾不暇。恰如猛虎卧病,群狼环伺。美国此番介入,正是看准时机,欲取而代之,在高加索这盘棋上,落下一枚关键之子。
小撒
您看,这历史能追溯到1918年,那时候独立的亚美尼亚和阿塞拜疆就开始争地盘了。后来虽然有94年的停火协议,还有个什么“欧安组织明斯克小组”在协调,但这火星子就从来没真正灭过。
诗仙李白
百年恩怨,盘根错节。所谓停火,不过是为下一次兵戎相见稍作喘息。明斯克小组虽有美、法、俄三大国共主,亦不过是镜花水月,未能真正化解两国之血海深仇。
小撒
所以即便现在和平协议的文本都敲定了,两国还是在一些根本问题上谈不拢。阿塞拜疆总统阿利耶夫提了两个“硬菜”:亚美尼亚必须修改宪法,还得解散那个明斯克小组,否则免谈!
诗仙李白
修宪乃动其国本,解散小组是废其旧约。此二者,皆是要害。亚美尼亚若从之,则无异于自断臂膀,未来再无凭仗。阿塞拜疆此举,可谓是步步紧逼,不留余地。
小撒
是啊,修改宪法得全民公投,结果难料;解散明斯克小组,还得美、俄、法都点头,这球又踢回去了。更别提那个穿越亚美尼亚领土的“走廊”问题,亚美尼亚觉得有损主权,坚决不干。
诗仙李白
一纸盟约,岂能缚住龙虎之心?所谓走廊,名为通途,实为枷锁。若由他国兵士驻守,则国门洞开,主权何存?此事若处置不当,和平协议恐将沦为一纸空文,战火复燃,亦非奇事。
小撒
这事儿影响可太大了!美国这么积极,明显是想把俄罗斯从高加索地区“挤出去”。这条“特朗普之路”,正好是“中间走廊”的关键一环,能连接中亚和欧洲,完美绕开了俄罗斯和伊朗。
诗仙李白
借路修势,以商围政,此乃阳谋。一旦此路贯通,高加索地缘格局必将重塑。俄罗斯之南院,将成美国之坦途。莫斯科纵有万般不愿,恐亦鞭长莫及,只能望洋兴叹。
小撒
而且亚美尼亚也心寒了,觉得自己被俄罗斯“背叛”,现在正积极寻找新盟友,又是暂停集安组织活动,又是和美国签战略伙伴关系宪章。这不,整个地区都在悄悄地“去俄罗斯化”。
小撒
所以说,这条“特朗普大道”到底能不能顺利建成,未来这地区的和平又能维持多久,现在看都还是个大大的问号。毕竟去年阿塞拜疆才刚完全控制了纳卡地区,当地的亚美尼亚人都跑光了。
诗仙李白
铸剑为犁,非一日之功。和平之路,漫漫其修远兮。人心之仇怨未解,土地之归属未定,纵有通天大道,亦难保长治久安。未来之事,犹在风中,难料,难料啊。
小撒
好了,今天的讨论就到这里。感谢您收听 Goose Pod,咱们明天再见!
诗仙李白
青山不改,绿水长流。后会有期。

## Summary of "Donald Trump brokers a peace plan in the Caucasus" This news report from **The Economist**, published on **August 9, 2025**, details a significant American-backed diplomatic effort to resolve the long-standing conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan. ### Key Findings and Conclusions: * **Peace Declaration and Agreements Signed:** On August 8th, U.S. President Donald Trump met with Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev at the White House. During this meeting, the trio signed a peace declaration and agreements concerning trade and security. * **Opening of the "Trump Route":** A crucial aspect of the deal is Armenia's agreement to open an American-operated transport route across its territory. This route will connect Azerbaijan to its exclave, Nakhchivan. * **Renaming of the Corridor:** The newly established corridor will be officially named the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" (TRIPP). * **Potential Weakening of Russian Influence:** The report suggests that this American-brokered deal could potentially weaken Russia's influence in the South Caucasus region, which is characterized by rivalries and closed borders. ### Context and Interpretation: The South Caucasus is described as a region with a complex geopolitical landscape, marked by "warring rivals and closed borders" and visible military presence ("Lookout posts and bunkers dot its frontiers"). The agreement signifies a major diplomatic achievement for the Trump administration, aiming to bring stability to a volatile area. The naming of the route after President Trump highlights the U.S.'s central role in brokering this agreement. The potential impact on Russia's regional standing is a significant underlying theme of the report. ### Metadata: * **News Title:** Donald Trump brokers a peace plan in the Caucasus * **Publisher:** The Economist * **Author(s):** The Economist * **Publication Date:** August 9, 2025 * **Topic:** Donald Trump * **Sub-Topic:** Donald Trump * **URL:** https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/08/09/donald-trump-brokers-a-peace-plan-in-the-caucasus * **News Identifier:** HC0YqOCaqshhy46x7N7d

Donald Trump brokers a peace plan in the Caucasus

Read original at The Economist

Europe | Have a good TRIPPAn American-backed deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan could weaken RussiaTHE SOUTH CAUCASUS is a mosaic of warring rivals and closed borders. Lookout posts and bunkers dot its frontiers. On August 8th Donald Trump met Armenia’s prime minister, Nikol Pashinyan, and Azerbaijan’s president, Ilham Aliyev, in an effort to end the conflict between their two countries.

At the White House the trio signed a peace declaration and agreements on trade and security. Crucially, Armenia agreed to open an American-operated transport route across its territory, linking Azerbaijan to its exclave, Nakhchivan (see map). The corridor will be called the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity (TRIPP).

“A great honour for me,” said America’s president.Explore moreWorldEurope

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