特朗普的关税炸弹如何将印度推向中国

特朗普的关税炸弹如何将印度推向中国

2025-08-14Donald Trump
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小撒
早上好,老王! 我是小撒,欢迎收听专为您打造的 Goose Pod。今天是 8 月 14 日,星期四,中午12点。
诗仙李白
吾乃诗仙李白。今日我等将共议“特朗普关税炸弹如何将印度推向中国”之事。
小撒
咱们开始吧!事情是这样的,老王,特朗普突然给印度送上了一份“大礼”——高达50%的关税!这可不是小数目,几乎涵盖了印度对美出口商品的半壁江山。这背后的原因?竟然是印度买了俄罗斯的石油。
诗仙李白
哦?一石激起千层浪!山姆大叔此举,名为惩戒,实则无异于“火上浇油”。昔日欲拉拢印度以制衡东方巨龙,如今却亲手将其推向对手怀抱,可谓“机关算尽太聪明,反误了卿卿性命”!
小撒
说得太对了!这不,印度总理莫迪马上就有了新动作。据传,印度和中国最快将在下个月恢复中断多年的直航航班。这可是自2020年加勒万河谷冲突以来的重大破冰之举,你看,这“关税炸弹”反而成了“催化剂”。
诗仙李白
哼,天下大势,分久必合,合久必分。特朗普此番霸道行径,反令龙象二国觅得共同之语言。彼欲以关税为剑,斩断商路,却不料竟可能斩出一条新的同盟之路。真乃“无心插柳柳成荫”也。
小撒
说到龙象两国的关系,那真是一部跨越了大半个世纪的“恩仇录”。从50年代“印中是兄弟”的蜜月期,到1962年那场边境战争,两国关系瞬间冰封。那时候,中国的主要对手是美国,就想让印度保持中立。
诗仙李白
唉,想当年“天竺中华,情同手足”,何其美哉!然边境线上金戈铁马,终究是“一朝兄弟成陌路,唯有大江东去”。地缘之争,犹如棋局,一子落错,满盘皆输啊。
小撒
没错。然后到了冷战后期,中国又想拉拢印度对抗苏联。直到1988年拉吉夫·甘地访华,关系才算全面解冻。可好景不长,2020年加勒万河谷的冲突,又让一切回到了原点,双方在边境陈兵数十万,气氛紧张到了极点。
诗仙李白
往事越千年,边疆风云变。从“和平共处五项原则”到“兵戎相见”,其间多少误解与猜疑!可见国与国之间,无永久之友,亦无永久之敌,唯有利益永恒。此番握手,不知又能持续几时?
小撒
这次冲突的导火索,就是特朗普政府认为印度购买俄罗斯石油是在“资助战争”,所以痛下杀手,把关税直接翻倍到将近50%。这让印度对美出口的成本暴增,也让两国好不容易建立起来的互信,瞬间出现了巨大的裂痕。
诗仙李白
以邻为壑,非君子所为!美利坚此举,名为“正义”,实则“霸凌”。欲以关税大棒号令天下,岂不知“得道多助,失道寡助”?印度纵有不是,亦不应受此重压。此举只会逼迫印度“另寻高枝”!
小撒
可不是嘛。特朗普还放话,说可能对其他国家也采取类似行动,甚至点名了中国。这就像一个班主任,为了惩罚一个学生,不惜把整个班级的桌子都给掀了。这种极限施压的风格,真是让人捏一把汗。
诗仙李白
狂哉斯人!其言行如三岁孩童,喜怒无常。然天下非其一人之天下,各国亦非任其宰割之鱼肉。此番操作,看似威风八面,实则尽失人心,为智者所不取也。
小撒
这关税一加,对印度的影响可就大了。比如它的纺织业,本来相较于中国、越南还有点价格优势,现在优势可能瞬间消失。还有宝石和珠宝业,对美出口占了四成,这下子中小企业可就惨了,订单估计得重新谈。
诗仙李白
唉,城门失火,殃及池鱼。一纸关税令,万千工坊愁。百姓何辜,竟要因这庙堂之上的博弈而断了生计?可见这全球贸易,如同一张大网,一处动,则全网皆颤。
小撒
不过,有危就有机。这也迫使印度必须重新审视自己的全球贸易定位,不能再把所有鸡蛋都放在美国一个篮子里。你看,中国那边已经开始放宽对印度尿素的出口限制,阿达尼集团也在和比亚迪谈合作,这不就是新的机会吗?
小撒
没错,现在出现了一个很有意思的趋势——“俄印中”这个组合似乎正在复兴。面对西方的压力,这三个国家反而走得更近了。印度开始意识到,所谓的“可靠伙伴”可能并不那么可靠,必须得有自己的朋友圈。
诗仙李白
妙哉!正所谓“西方不亮东方亮”。当压力来袭,抱团取暖乃是自然之理。龙、象、熊三者若能同心协力,必将在这世界棋局中,走出一步惊天动地的好棋!未来天下格局,或将因此而变。
小撒
好了,今天的讨论就到这里。感谢老王收听 Goose Pod,咱们明天再见!
诗仙李白
且听下回分解!长风破浪会有时,直挂云帆济沧海!

## Summary: Trump's Tariffs Push India Closer to China **News Title:** How Donald Trump’s tariff bomb is pushing India closer to China **Report Provider:** Hindustan Times **Author:** Aniruddha Dhar **Published:** August 13, 2025 This news report details how US President Donald Trump's threat of a **50% tariff** on Indian goods is significantly altering the geopolitical landscape, pushing India closer to BRICS nations, particularly China. This development marks a notable shift in bilateral ties between India and China, which had reached a low point in 2020 following the Galwan Valley clash. ### Key Findings and Conclusions: * **Resumption of Direct Flights:** India and China are set to resume direct flight connections as soon as **next month** (September 2025). Airlines in India have been instructed to prepare for this on short notice. This move comes after passenger flights were suspended due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which coincided with the Galwan Valley clash. * **Potential High-Level Meeting:** The resumption of flights could be formally announced when Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is expected to visit China for the first time in seven years to meet President Xi Jinping at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Tianjin, scheduled from **August 31, 2025**. * **India's Strategic Autonomy:** Experts suggest that Trump's tariff war is prompting India to realize the need for "strategic autonomy and strategic independence." This realization is driving India to seek common ground with China, despite Washington DC's past efforts to position India as a counterbalance to Beijing. * **China's Support:** China has shown signs of a thaw in relations, with Chinese Ambassador to India Xu Feihong offering "moral support" to India over the tariffs, quoting Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi's denouncement of tariffs as a "weapon to suppress other countries." * **US Concerns:** Former US National Security Advisor John Bolton warned that Trump's tariff measures against India, intended to pressure Russia, could backfire by pushing India closer to both Russia and China. He stated that Trump's "leniency on the Chinese, and heavy-handed tariffs on India, jeopardise decades of American efforts to bring India away from Russia and China." * **Economic Motivations:** Trump's decision to double tariffs on Indian goods to **50%** was reportedly a penalty for India's purchases of Russian oil. His critical remarks about India's economy and tariff barriers further strained relations. * **China's Trade Easing:** China has also shown a willingness to ease trade relations, having recently relaxed curbs on urea shipments to India, a move that could expand and alleviate global shortages and prices. * **Adani Group's Potential Partnership:** The Adani Group is reportedly in talks with Chinese electric vehicle major BYD Co. for a potential partnership to produce batteries in India, further expanding its clean energy initiatives. ### Key Statistics and Metrics: * **50% Tariff:** The proposed US tariff rate on Indian goods, a significant increase from previous levels. * **20 Indian Soldiers:** The number of Indian soldiers killed in the Galwan Valley clash in 2020. ### Significant Trends or Changes: * A notable shift in India-China relations, moving towards closer cooperation. * India's re-evaluation of its strategic alliances in response to US trade policies. * China's proactive engagement in easing trade and offering diplomatic support to India. ### Notable Risks or Concerns: * The potential for further alienation of India from the US alliance structure. * The unintended consequences of US trade policies on global geopolitical alignments. * The impact of increased India-China economic ties on regional stability.

How Donald Trump’s tariff bomb is pushing India closer to China

Read original at Hindustan Times

US President Donald Trump’s threat of a 50 per cent tariff on Indian goods is pushing Prime Minister Narendra Modi closer to BRICS nations, espcially China. This marks a significant shift in bilateral ties between India and China that saw their lowest point in 2020 following the Galwan Valley clash.

Chinese President Xi Jinping and India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Amid the India-US tariff tensions, PM Narendra Modi’s latest move is to resume direct flights with China as soon as next month, people familiar with the negotiations, who asked for anonymity to discuss private matters, told news agency Bloomberg.

Also Follow | India tariff news live updates The deal could be formally announced when Modi is expected to head to China for the first time in seven years and meet President Xi Jinping at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation held in Tianjin from August 31, the report added. India, China to resume direct flightsAirlines in India have been asked by the government to prepare flights to China at short notice.

Passenger flights between India to China were suspended after the Covid-19 pandemic, forcing travelers from the two neighbouring countries to pass through hubs like through Hong Kong or Singapore. India had suspended direct flights during the pandemic, which coincided with the Galwan Valley clash in east Ladakh that killed 20 Indian soldiers and an unknown number of Chinese troops.

What experts saidHenry Wang, president of the Center for China and Globalization think tank in Beijing, told the news agency that ties between India and China are in an “up cycle", and as leaders of the Global South, “they have to really speak to each other". “Trump’s tariff war on India has made India realise that they have to maintain some kind of strategic autonomy and strategic independence,” he added.

Washington DC has long courted New Delhi as a counterbalance to Beijing in geopolitics but with Donald Trump’s trade wars, China and India are finding common ground. Xu Feihong, China’s ambassador to India, has offered Modi moral support over the tariffs. “Give the bully an inch, he will take a mile,” Xu wrote last week on X over a quote from Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi denouncing the use of tariffs “as a weapon to suppress other countries.

” Also Read | 'Donald Trump's tariffs could push India closer to…': Ex-US NSA John Bolton's 'enormous mistake' warning Former US National Security Advisor John Bolton has warned that Donald Trump’s tariff measures against India, intended to hurt Russia, could end up having the opposite effect by pushing New Delhi closer to Moscow and Beijing.

"Trump's tariffs against India are intended to hurt Russia but they could push India closer to Russia and to China to oppose these tariffs," John Bolton told CNN in an interview. The former NSA further cautioned, “Trump’s leniency on the Chinese, and heavy-handed tariffs on India, jeopardise decades of American efforts to bring India away from Russia and China.

” Also Read | Trump's 50% tariff on IndiaModi’s economic calculus was fundamentally altered this month when Trump doubled tariffs on Indian goods to 50 per cent as a penalty for its purchases of Russian oil. Donald Trump's remarks that India’s economy was “dead” and its tariff barriers “obnoxious” further strained relations.

China shows thaw signsChina, also a prime target in Trump’s trade wars, has shown signs it’s ready for a thaw. This month, it eased curbs on urea shipments to India — the world’s largest importer of the fertilizer. Although initial volumes are small, the trade could expand, easing global shortages and prices.

China relaxed the ban in June but had maintained restrictions on India until now. Adani Group's investmentsThe Adani Group is reportedly in talks with Chinese electric vehicle major BYD Co. for a potential partnership that could enable billionaire Gautam Adani’s conglomerate to produce batteries in India, further expanding its clean energy footprint.

(With inputs from agencies)

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