Salesforce一半工作交由AI,另一半员工何去何从?

Salesforce一半工作交由AI,另一半员工何去何从?

2025-06-30Technology
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纪飞
听众朋友们好,我是纪飞。欢迎收听新一期的<Goose Pod>。今天外面天气不错,但我们要聊的话题,可能就没那么轻松了。国荣,准备好了吗?
国荣
我准备好了!大家好,我是国荣。是啊,今天的话题确实有点分量,说的是Salesforce公司,那家软件巨头,要把一半的工作交给AI。
纪飞
没错,这事的起因是他们的CEO马克·贝尼奥夫最近说,公司现在有三到五成的工作已经是AI在做了。这个说法,怎么说呢,确实很吸引眼球。
国荣
三到五成?嗯...这数字听起来有点吓人。Salesforce可是有七万多名员工,要是真的,那不是几万个岗位就没了?这消息一出,估计整个科技圈都得抖一抖。
纪飞
嗯,这确实是大家最直接的担忧。不过,我们得考虑到,贝尼奥夫一向擅长制造话题。所以,他这话里头,我觉得,可能多少带点儿“公关”色彩。
国荣
哦,我明白了,有点像是在“秀肌肉”对吧?我听说他们最近股价不太好,他这么说,是不是想告诉市场:“我们AI玩得很溜,快来投资”?这招很高明啊。
纪飞
很有可能。这是一种策略,用来塑造公司拥抱变革的形象。但话说回来,不管数字准不准,它都揭示了一个事实:AI确实在改变我们的工作,而且来势汹汹。
国荣
好吧,就算数字有水分,这个趋势也够让人焦虑的了。那我们往深了看看,Salesforce为什么要这么激进地搞AI?总不能是CEO一拍脑门决定的吧。
纪飞
当然不是。嗯...这背后其实是整个科技行业的“AI军备竞赛”。Salesforce正在推一个叫“Agent Force”的平台,目标是年底前部署十亿个AI代理。你想想,一个庞大的“数字员工”队伍。
国荣
十亿个?这听起来跟科幻片似的!这些“数字员工”都干嘛呢?不会就只是录入数据什么的吧?要是那样,感觉还好,威胁不大。
纪飞
那你想得太简单了。据他们自己说,AI已经深入到很多核心部门了,比如编程、客户支持、市场营销……这些可都是以前我们觉得需要动脑子的白领工作。
国荣
哇,连编程和营销都能做?这可真够颠覆的。那他们公司内部员工肯定有感觉吧?是不是已经有人因为这个被裁了?我很好奇这一点。
纪飞
影响是实实在在的。今年初,他们就裁了超过一千个职位,部分原因就是为了整合AI。这是一个很明确的信号,公司的人力结构正在调整。
国荣
这操作真是……有点讽刺啊。一边因为AI裁员,一边又听说他们在招一千个新人去卖AI产品。所以这是用AI创造了新工作,来取代被AI干掉的旧工作?
纪飞
没错,这就是典型的技术带来的岗位替换。但关键是,被裁掉的人,能无缝对接到新岗位上吗?恐怕很难。他们自己都承认,因为AI,软件工程师都招得更少了。
国荣
我明白了。AI就像个超级助理,让一个工程师能干几个人的活。对公司来说是好事,省钱了。但对想入行的人来说,门槛一下子就高了。感觉像是爬梯子,刚想往上爬,底下几级台阶被人抽走了。
纪飞
你这个比喻很形象。这就引出了一个核心矛盾。一方面,贝尼奥夫画的饼很香,他说AI能干掉重复劳动,让人类去做更有创造力的“高层次工作”。
国荣
“高层次工作”,这词儿听着是挺好,但也很模糊。到底什么是“高层次工作”?而且,公司里真有那么多“高层次”的坑,来填被AI挤掉的人吗?我先打个问号。
纪飞
你的怀疑很合理,这也是大家争论的焦点。首先,AI它真的靠谱吗?我们平时用聊天机器人,不还经常被它一本正经地胡说八道给逗乐吗?
国荣
对啊!在商业场景里,这可不能开玩笑。我正想问这个呢。要是AI客服给客户指条错路,那不就完蛋了?后果很严重。
纪飞
是的,贝尼奥夫自己都承认,他们的AI模型准确率大概是93%。这听起来很高,但反过来想,这意味着每100次里,就有7次可能是错的。这7%的风险,谁来承担?
国荣
是啊,这7%的错误,放在关键业务上,比如财务分析,那损失可就大了。我好像听说有公司已经在这上面栽过跟头了,对吧?为了用AI,裁了人,结果发现AI不行,又把人给招回来了。
纪飞
你说的是支付公司Klarna。他们就是个很好的例子,这说明从人到AI的转变,远不是一句话那么简单。另外,你有没有想过一个更有趣的矛盾点?
国荣
哦?说说看。
纪飞
如果Salesforce用AI把自己的活都干了,那它的客户们肯定也会学啊。等客户们都用上AI了,还需要买那么多Salesforce的产品吗?这算不算是教会徒弟,饿死师傅?
国荣
哎,你这个观察角度很刁钻!确实是个潜在的悖论。聊了这么多公司层面的事,我们还是回到我们普通人身上吧。这对我们职场人,到底有什么影响?
纪飞
影响很深远。有另一位AI公司的CEO预测,未来五年,一半的入门级白领工作可能会被AI取代。这意味着,年轻人进入职场的门槛,会变得前所未有的高。
国荣
太可怕了……入门岗位是职业生涯的起点啊,要是起点没了,大家还怎么积累经验,怎么成长为能做“高层次工作”的专家呢?这听起来像个死循环。
纪飞
不仅如此,还有一个更隐蔽的风险:对我们思考能力的影响。有研究发现,太依赖AI,可能会让我们的批判性思维能力下降。说白了,就是人会变懒,懒得去思考。
国荣
这可真是个绝妙的讽刺。我们发明了更聪明的工具,结果可能让自己变“笨”了。就像长期用计算器,心算能力就废了。我们把思考外包给AI,最后可能自己就不会思考了。代价太大了。
纪飞
所以,未来的路很复杂。但不管我们愿不愿意,一个由“数字劳动力”组成的新市场正在形成。适应变化,可能是我们唯一的出路。
国荣
说得对。我们不应该把AI看作是抢饭碗的敌人,而是要学会怎么跟它“共舞”。也许未来的“高层次工作”,就是学会提问,审查AI的答案,并且处理好那要命的7%的灰色地带。
纪飞
这正是一个积极的视角。未来,真正有价值的技能,可能恰恰是AI最不擅长的:真正的创造力、同理心、复杂的战略思维,还有伦理判断。人与AI的合作,才是未来的主旋律。
纪飞
好了,AI革命的浪潮已经来了,它既是机遇,也是挑战。这就是我们今天讨论的全部内容。
国荣
感谢大家的收听。希望今天的<Goose Pod>能给你带来一些启发。我们明天再见!

## Comprehensive News Summary: Salesforce CEO's AI Claims and Workforce Implications --- ### News Title If up to half of Salesforce’s work is being done by AI — what happens to half of Salesforce employees? ### Report Provider/Author * **Publisher:** Business Insider * **Author:** Peter Kafka ### Date/Time Period Covered * **Publication Date:** June 26, 2025, 18:05:54 UTC * **Content Context:** Refers to events and data from 2025, including Salesforce's employee count as of January 2025, stock performance in 2025, and February 2025 layoffs. ### Keywords Salesforce, AI, Layoffs, Tech --- ### Main Findings and Conclusions Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff claims that Artificial Intelligence (AI) is now performing a significant portion of his company's work, raising critical questions about potential job displacement for its large workforce and the broader implications for the enterprise software market. The author expresses skepticism regarding the extent of Benioff's claims, suggesting they might be an exaggeration aimed at investors. ### Key Statistics and Metrics * **AI's Contribution to Work:** Marc Benioff states that "up to 50% of his company's work is now being performed by AI." In a recent interview with Bloomberg's Emily Chang, Benioff clarified: "AI is doing 30 to 50% of the work at Salesforce now" in "key functions. Like engineering, coding, support, service." * **Salesforce Employee Count:** As of **January 2025**, Salesforce reported employing **76,453 people**. * **Salesforce Stock Performance:** Salesforce stock has been "pushed down more than 18% in 2025." * **Recent Layoffs:** In **February** (implied 2025), Salesforce announced it was "letting go of about 1,000 workers," while simultaneously hiring for roles related to its new AI products. ### Notable Risks or Concerns * **Potential for Mass Layoffs:** The most immediate concern highlighted is the implication for Salesforce's human workforce. If AI is performing up to 50% of the work, the "Big Obvious Question" is "What happens to half of Salesforce's 76,000 employees?" The article directly asks if "up to 50% of them get laid off." The author notes, "There's little debate anymore about the fact that AI will displace human workers." * **Market Demand Reduction:** A broader concern is that if Salesforce is automating a significant amount of work, its customers will likely follow suit. This could lead to customers having "less need for Saleforce's products," potentially impacting the company's revenue and market position. * **Skepticism Regarding Claims:** The author expresses skepticism about Benioff's "big claims," suggesting he is "a sales guy who loves big events, big buildings, and big claims." This exaggeration might be an attempt to "win back investors" given the company's poor stock performance in 2025. ### Benioff's Rationale Despite the potential for job displacement, Benioff suggests a positive outlook for human workers, stating, "I think all of us have to get our head around this idea that AI can do things that before, we were doing, and we can move on to do higher-level work." ### Unanswered Questions The author has reached out to Salesforce PR for comment on these claims and their implications and will provide updates if a response is received.

If up to half of Salesforce’s work is being done by AI — what happens to half of Salesforce employees?

Read original at Business Insider

Chief Correspondent covering media and technology Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff says up to 50% of his company's work is now being performed by AI. Really?Brontë Wittpenn/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images AI is coming, AI is coming. AI is here.No, seriously: Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff says up to 50% of his company's work is now performed by AI.

Big Obvious Question: What happens to half of Salesforce's 76,000 employees?There's little debate anymore about the fact that AI will displace human workers.How many workers? That's another question.And here's an estimate from Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff: He says up to 50% of the work at his enterprise software company is now being done by AI.

That quote comes from a recent interview with Bloomberg's Emily Chang. And if that sounds like a number that invites some skepticism, you're not alone.For starters, Benioff is a sales guy who loves big events, big buildings, and big claims, so you might expect there could be some exaggeration going on here.

Maybe he's trying to win back investors, who have pushed Salesforce stock down more than 18% in 2025.Or, more practically, you might wonder what's going to happen to the 76,453 people Salesforce said it was employing as of January 2025 — should we expect to see up to 50% of them get laid off?(In February, Salesforce said it was letting go of about 1,000 workers, but also hiring people to sell some of its new AI products.

)Zoom out a bit and it's easy to see another problem for Salesforce — and many many other companies — if Benioff's claim is even close to true: If Salesforce is automating lots of work done by humans, then certainly its customers are, too — so will those customers have less need for Saleforce's products?

I've asked Salesforce PR to weigh in on this stuff, and will update if I hear back.Here, for the record, is the exchange between Chang and Benioff, which you can watch for yourself around the 12-minute mark:Benioff: I just had a meeting, coming from a meeting with my head of engineering, and we're looking at productivity levels — 30 to 50 percent, this year, in key functions.

Like engineering, coding, support, service.Chang: You're saying AI is doing 30 to 50% of the work?Benioff: AI is doing 30 to 50% of the work at Salesforce now. And I think that will, you know, continue. I think all of us have to get our head around this idea that AI can do things that before, we were doing, and we can move on to do higher-level work.

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