餐厅配送机器人:迎来高光时刻

餐厅配送机器人:迎来高光时刻

2025-08-03Technology
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雷总
早上好,徐国荣,我是雷总。欢迎收听专为您打造的 Goose Pod,今天是8月4日,星期一。
董小姐
我是董小姐。今天我们来聊聊一个热门话题:餐厅配送机器人,它们正迎来自己的高光时刻。
雷总
我们开始吧。想象一下,一个像带轮子的小野餐篮一样的机器人在人行道上穿行,眨着圆圆的LED眼睛。这不是科幻电影,这是正在发生的现实!这些由Coco、Serve和星船科技等公司运营的小家伙,正在改变城市风景。
董小姐
听起来很有趣,但关键是市场规模。目前全美大约有2000台这种机器人在运营,而且数量预计会成倍增长。这背后是实实在在的资本在推动,DoorDash、Uber Eats这些大平台都入局了。
雷总
对!这绝对是多赢的局面。餐馆头疼的配送费、消费者的成本,还有城市的交通拥堵和碳排放,机器人配送都有可能解决。最终目标是把配送费降到像白菜价一样的1美元!想想就激动人心。
董小姐
一美元配送?这个目标很有吸引力。如果真能实现,无疑会重塑整个外卖市场。不过,理想很丰满,现实的骨感我们还是要好好分析一下,看看“核心科技”到底过不过硬。
董小姐
其实,这个想法不算新了。我记得早在2015年,星船科技(Starship Technologies)就在欧洲测试原型机了。但真正火起来,还是疫情期间,外卖需求爆发式增长,一下子把它推到了风口上。
雷总
没错!董小姐你说的很对。早期的机器人开发,像拼凑玩具。2017年的时候,开发者还要用代步车的零件和几百磅重的巨大电池。但现在不一样了,电动滑板车和自行车的普及,让供应链成熟了,成本也大大降低。
董小姐
核心科技的进步,带来了成本的降低和效率的提升。我看到资料说,像优食(Uber Eats)这样的平台,已经和好几家机器人公司合作,准备大规模铺开了。这说明技术已经到了一个商业化的临界点。
雷总
是的,不只是送餐。2018年星船科技就在英国送杂货了。2019年,乔治梅森大学甚至把机器人配送纳入了学生食堂的套餐计划。应用场景越来越丰富,这就是技术驱动的变革!从校园到社区,遍地开花。
董小姐
数据最有说服力。到2023年6月,单单一个星船科技,就完成了超过500万次的商业自动配送。这个数字证明了模式的可行性。从几百台到几千台,再到未来的几万台,规模效应正在显现。
雷总
当然,技术还不是完美的。现在的机器人还不是完全自动驾驶,它们在过繁忙的马路或者遇到坑洼时,还需要远程人工干预。用户体验的一致性,是我们这些做产品的人最看重的,这绝对是一个挑战。
董小姐
我更关心的是现实阻力。比如,它会不会抢走快递员的工作?英国的快递工会已经发出警告了。还有,这些机器人在人行道上,会不会给残障人士带来不便?这些都是企业必须面对的社会责任问题。
雷总
这个问题,我认为是互补大于替代。机器人可以处理短途、高密度的订单,把人类快递员解放出来,去完成更长距离、更有价值的配送。通过降低成本,整个市场的蛋糕会变大,最终创造更多机会。
董小姐
“蛋糕变大”是理想情况,但前提是得有规矩。现在各地的法规都不一样,这会严重阻碍市场扩张。没有统一明确的法规,企业就不敢大规模投入。这是一个先有鸡还是先有蛋的问题,必须解决。
董小姐
对餐厅来说,影响是实实在在的。现在第三方平台的佣金高达15-30%,严重挤压了利润。如果机器人能把配送成本降下来,对餐厅来说就是救命稻草,能让他们在激烈的市场竞争中活得更好。
雷总
是的,而且效率更高!有餐厅老板说,机器人就在门口等着,餐一做好马上出发,比等人类司机来取餐快多了。对于像生鱼饭这种对时效性要求高的食物,用户体验的提升非常明显,新鲜、快速,这才是王道!
董小姐
从宏观上看,这会搅动整个价值1500亿美元的全球外卖市场。它不仅仅是替代人力,更可能催生新的商业模式。比如“幽灵厨房”和虚拟品牌会更有优势,传统的餐饮格局将被彻底颠覆。
雷总
未来几年,关键看人工智能的进步。随着数据越来越多,机器人会像人一样‘学习’,而不是靠死板的规则。从需要多人监控一小队机器人,到一人监控一大群,成本会指数级下降,那才叫真正的爆发。
董小姐
市场预测也很乐观,预计到2030年,市场规模将达到22亿美元。这不仅仅是技术趋势,更是商业的必然。自动化是降低成本、提升效率的唯一出路,谁掌握核心科技,谁就掌握未来。
雷总
好了,今天的讨论就到这里。感谢您收听 Goose Pod。这些可爱的小机器人,看来真的要改变我们的生活了。
董小姐
没错,让我们拭目以待。我们明天再见。

Here's a comprehensive summary of the provided news article about restaurant delivery robots: ## Restaurant Delivery Robots Poised for Exponential Growth **News Title:** Restaurant delivery robots are ready for their close-up **Source:** Restaurant Business **Author:** Joe Guszkowski **Published:** August 1, 2025 (Article published on this date, covering recent developments and future outlook) --- ### Executive Summary The landscape of food delivery is undergoing a significant transformation with the rapid advancement and scaling of sidewalk delivery robots. Fueled by substantial financing and technological breakthroughs, these autonomous couriers are becoming an increasingly common sight in major U.S. cities. While facing some technological and regulatory hurdles, the industry is optimistic about the potential for robots to revolutionize food delivery by reducing costs, increasing efficiency, and alleviating urban traffic congestion. --- ### Key Findings and Conclusions * **Exponential Growth Projected:** The number of delivery robots is expected to grow exponentially in the coming years, with companies significantly increasing their fleets. * **Market Transformation Potential:** Once at scale, these robots have the potential to reshape both the restaurant delivery market and the urban streetscape. * **Cost Reduction and Demand Increase:** As manufacturing and operating costs decrease, delivery fees could fall as low as $1, driving increased demand and reducing reliance on carbon-emitting vehicles. * **Restaurant Benefits:** Restaurants anticipate more efficient delivery processes, lower costs, and improved environmental consciousness. * **Technological Advancements:** Significant progress in Artificial Intelligence (AI), particularly inspired by models like OpenAI's ChatGPT, is enabling robots to learn and navigate complex urban environments more effectively. * **Current Limitations:** Robots are still limited by low speeds, short delivery radii, and the need for remote human oversight for complex situations like crossing busy streets or navigating obstacles. * **Job Market Impact:** While concerns exist about job displacement, proponents argue that robots will complement human couriers by handling short-distance deliveries, thereby increasing overall demand and creating more opportunities. --- ### Key Statistics and Metrics * **Current Robot Count:** Approximately **2,000** delivery robots are currently operating on U.S. sidewalks and college campuses. * **Starship Technologies:** Operates over **1,200** delivery bots in the U.S. * **Coco Robotics:** * Currently has **hundreds** of robots. * Expects to have over **1,000** robots this year. * Aims to reach **10,000** robots by the end of next year. * Backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman. * **Serve Robotics:** * Has about **300** robots. * Under contract with Uber to reach **2,000** by the end of the year. * Raised **$200 million** last year after going public in April. * **Global Food Delivery Market:** Expected to reach **$450 billion** by 2030. * **Delivery Cost Target:** Companies like Coco aim to reduce delivery costs to as low as **$1**. * **Sweetfin Delivery Costs:** Currently pays approximately **$3.99 or $4.99** per Coco delivery, which is slightly less than regular third-party deliveries but still far from the $1 target. * **Robot Abuse/Vandalism:** Affects **less than 1%** of deliveries, according to Starship. * **Uber's Involvement:** Supporting robotic delivery in **10 markets**. --- ### Significant Trends and Changes * **Increased Financing:** Robotic delivery companies are securing significant funding, enabling rapid acceleration of production. * **Pilot Programs to Rollouts:** Small pilot programs are evolving into full-scale deployments. * **Supply Chain Maturation:** The rise of electric scooters and e-bikes has helped establish a supply chain for necessary robot components, making them cheaper and more readily available. * **AI Integration:** Advances in AI are crucial for improving robot autonomy and navigation capabilities. * **Public Perception:** Robots are becoming more visible and are even appearing in pop culture, contributing to a growing public awareness and acceptance. * **Anthropomorphism:** Robot designs are increasingly incorporating friendly and approachable aesthetics to foster positive public interaction. --- ### Notable Risks and Concerns * **Technological Limitations:** Robots are still not fully autonomous and require human oversight for challenging situations. * **Geographical and Market Constraints:** The suitability of sidewalk robots is limited by specific urban environments, including speed, delivery radius, and the presence of obstacles. * **Regulatory Hurdles:** Navigating different city regulations, labor laws, and business landscapes is a significant challenge for market expansion. * **Pedestrian Impairment:** Some pedestrians, particularly those with disabilities, have raised concerns about robots being an impediment on sidewalks. * **Job Displacement Fears:** Unions have voiced concerns about robots taking jobs from human delivery workers. * **Infrastructure Challenges:** Cities need to adapt their infrastructure and regulations to better support robot operations. --- ### Material Financial Data * **Funding Rounds:** Starship and Coco have recently closed eight-figure funding rounds. Serve raised $200 million last year. * **Market Value:** The global food delivery market is projected to reach $450 billion by 2030. * **Delivery Cost Savings:** The ultimate goal is to reduce delivery costs to $1 per delivery, a significant reduction from current rates. * **Restaurant Investment:** Restaurants like Sweetfin are investing in robot delivery to improve efficiency and potentially lower costs, with delivery accounting for about a quarter of their sales. --- ### Important Recommendations (Implied) * **City Support:** Cities are encouraged to support robot growth through measures like changing zoning rules or offering subsidies to facilitate market expansion and lower costs. * **Continued AI Development:** Further advancements in AI are critical for achieving higher levels of autonomy and enabling robots to operate independently in diverse urban settings. * **Customer and Restaurant Adoption:** The success of automated delivery hinges on widespread adoption by both consumers and restaurants. --- ### Key Quotes * "If a business can find a way to bring down delivery fees, to be more environmentally conscious and bring down costs both for restaurants and the consumer, it’s a win-win-win." - **Seth Cohen, president of Los Angeles-based Sweetfin.** * "We have barely scratched the surface... We are excited by it, we are energized by it … but we have lots of ground to cover, literally." - **Touraj Parang, COO of Serve.** * "We’re seeing a really big ramp up." - **Megan Jensen, head of autonomous delivery operations at Uber.** * "Today, just off the shelf, you can buy things, and there’s manufacturing already set up, and costs have come down drastically compared to what we saw a decade ago." - **Harrison Shih, head of product for DoorDash Labs.** * "The key enabler is, you need the level of autonomy to be really high, and I think that’s a really easy line to extrapolate with the kind of progress we’ve had in the industry lately." - **Zach Rash, CEO and co-founder of Coco.** * "We really do believe that the number of human couriers and delivery robots are going to continue to grow side by side for quite a long time." - **Megan Jensen of Uber.**

Restaurant delivery robots are ready for their close-up

Read original at Restaurant Business

The number of delivery robots is exepcted to grow exponentially in the coming years. | Photo courtesy of Coco RoboticsA robot makes its way along a city sidewalk. It stops, shifts, crawls forward. It blinks a pair of perfectly round, LED eyeballs. A few pedestrians stop and stare. But the bot, which resembles a picnic basket on wheels, is unbothered.

It pauses at a crosswalk, then trundles on. Inside its insulated belly is someone else’s lunch. It’s like a scene out of a science-fiction novel. Except it’s not. In big cities across the country, from Los Angeles to Chicago to Miami, sidewalk-crawling food delivery robots are becoming part of the scenery.

Ray Bradbury, eat your heart out. There are roughly 2,000 of these machines roaming U.S. sidewalks and college campuses today, equipped with cameras, sensors and sophisticated software that help them get around. They’re operated by companies like Coco, Serve and Starship Technologies, with delivery platforms such as DoorDash, Uber Eats and Grubhub connecting the dots between restaurants, customers and robots.

With financing flowing into the space, the number of bots is set to more than double this year and increase exponentially in the years to come.Starship has more than 1,200 delivery bots in the U.S. | Photo courtesy of Starship TechnologiesThe bots will have to multiply if they are to fulfill the considerable hope being placed on their boxy shoulders.

The robotics companies say that their fleets, once at scale, could reshape not only the restaurant delivery market but also the urban American streetscape. As the cost of building and operating robots comes down, customers will be able to have food delivered for as little as $1, they say, increasing demand for the service and easing the logjam of carbon-emitting cars on the road.

Robot delivery holds distinct promises for restaurants, many of which have tolerated delivery for years despite the considerable expense and operational headaches it brings. Hundreds of restaurants are now plugged into robot delivery networks, including large chains like Shake Shack and White Castle, in hopes that they will make the process more efficient.

“If a business can find a way to bring down delivery fees, to be more environmentally conscious and bring down costs both for restaurants and the consumer, it’s a win-win-win,” said Seth Cohen, president of Los Angeles-based Sweetfin, which uses Coco’s delivery bots. “I think that’s great. There’s optimism there.

”At the same time, there are some hurdles ahead for delivery bots, which are still limited by technology, geography and demand. With low speeds and delivery radiuses of just a couple of miles, there are only so many markets that make sense for sidewalk bots today, and only a handful of those have meaningful coverage.

“We have barely scratched the surface,” said Touraj Parang, COO of Serve, who noted that the global food delivery market is expected to reach $450 billion by 2030. “We are excited by it, we are energized by it … but we have lots of ground to cover, literally.”Food delivery robots have been around since at least 2015, when Starship Technologies began test-driving a prototype in Europe.

They began to gain traction during the pandemic as demand for food delivery exploded. And over the past year or two, they have found another gear. Robotic delivery companies are closing big funding rounds. Small pilot programs are evolving into full-blown rollouts. The bots are even beginning to show up in pop culture, acting as mascots for the AI era.

“Whether it’s the headlines around the industry, or the actual physical product sinking in out in the wild, I think that gut feeling [that delivery bots are progressing] is spot on,” said Aaron Campbell, founder of Operation Autopilot, a consulting firm that works with autonomous vehicle startups.Much of that progress has been a function of financing.

Both Starship and Coco recently closed eight-figure funding rounds, while Serve raised $200 million last year after going public in April. The influx of capital has allowed the companies to rapidly accelerate production. Starship currently has more than 1,200 robots in the U.S.; Coco has hundreds and expects to have over 1,000 this year and 10,000 by the end of next; and Serve has about 300 and is under contract with Uber to reach 2,000 by year’s end.

“What we’re seeing in the past year is going quickly from dozens of robots to now hundreds of robots,” said Megan Jensen, head of autonomous delivery operations at Uber. “We’re seeing a really big ramp up.”It helps that delivery robots have also become easier and less expensive to manufacture. When Harrison Shih was developing sidewalk bots for San Francisco-based Marble in 2017, he was cobbling together parts from mobility scooters and giant batteries that weighed hundreds of pounds.

That was before electric scooters and e-bikes became staples of modern urban life, which helped to establish a supply chain for so-called micro-mobility vehicles. Now, the parts needed to build a good sidewalk robot, like small motors and lithium-ion batteries, are cheap and readily available. “Today, just off the shelf, you can buy things, and there’s manufacturing already set up, and costs have come down drastically compared to what we saw a decade ago,” said Shih, who is now head of product for DoorDash Labs, which leads the company’s automated delivery efforts.

Building more bots is a key piece of the automated delivery equation, because it will create economies of scale that will bring down costs for everyone involved. But the bots’ success will also hinge on their ability to complete deliveries quickly and safely. And that comes down largely to a question of artificial intelligence.

Today, delivery robots are not completely autonomous. All three companies interviewed for this article still rely on remote human pilots to step in when their machines get into trouble. The bots tend to need help crossing busy streets, for instance, and they can get caught up by common obstacles such as curbs, tree roots and potholes.

Still, their autonomy has made strides in recent years thanks to watershed developments in AI, particularly OpenAI’s launch of ChatGPT in late 2022.The company’s big breakthrough had to do with the way it trained the model behind the human-like chatbot. It used massive data sets and some hands-on coaching that enabled the AI to keep getting smarter and smarter over time.

That approach has since spread to other AI applications, including delivery robots, which have generated millions of miles of valuable training data already. Previously, there was only so much an AI model could learn from that data before it began to “plateau,” said Zach Rash, CEO of co-founder of Coco, which is backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman.

That training limitation meant that robot delivery companies had to manually create rules for their bots, like that they must stop at a stop sign. But navigating city streets is not that cut and dry. There’s an almost infinite number of scenarios that a bot may have to respond to. It can be programmed to stop at a stop sign.

But what if a car blows the stop? “You want a system that just learns, like a human does, how to operate in those environments without creating hard rules,” Rash said. “These new AI systems are really good at doing that.” A Coco robot crosses the street in Santa Monica, California. | Photo courtesy of Coco Robotics The hope among robotics companies is that the bots’ autonomy will advance to the point that fewer humans will be able to monitor increasingly larger fleets, which will help bring costs down.

But whether the bots will ever be completely self-sufficient is still unclear.“That’s, like, a trillion-dollar question,” said Campbell. The answer will depend on both technological advances and human factors such as regulation and safety.On the second point, Campbell said that sidewalk bots have proven to be relatively low-risk.

They’re unlikely to hurt someone by running into them. The worst that can happen is one of the bots gets hit by a car, he said. From a regulatory perspective, that could make the path to total autonomy easier.“For sidewalk deliveries, I could see a world where humans are mostly, if not entirely, in a mission-completion sense, out of the loop,” he said.

“But do I think we’re there right now and that’s a wise move or a way to get costs to zero? Not necessarily.”For now, the urban jungle remains full of pitfalls for delivery robots. Online, there are countless videos of bots imperiled by curbs, trees, snow and even fellow robots.Robot operators maintain that these problems are navigable, especially with human oversight.

Starship’s bots have managed to survive in Finland, where the winters are long and cold. “We have snow and black ice and all sorts of things. We have very narrow streets and very large ones,” said Valentin Naidja, Starship’s SVP of revenue. “Pretty much anything you can think of, we’ve probably operated in.

”The question he gets the most, though, is about vandalism. Do the defenseless bots become targets for troublemakers? Naidja said robot abuse is extremely rare, affecting less than 1% of deliveries. “It just doesn’t happen,” he said. On the contrary, he said, people love the bots.“Just look at them.

They’re just cute,” he said. “There are parts of the country where you will have a lot of snow and a robot will be on the side, a little bit forlorn and stuck, and you will have a good Samaritan helping the robot.”The robots’ friendly appearance is actually quite calculated. Serve wanted its bot to look approachable, although not so much so that it would be treated “like a little toy on the sidewalk,” said Touraj Parang, president and COO.

It took inspiration from other wheeled objects people are familiar with, like strollers and shopping carts. “We had to hit that happy medium between what’s functional and what’s also neighborly,” Parang said. The result is like “if a Minion and Wall-E had a baby.”Serve's robot is designed to look friendly but functional.

| Photo courtesy of Serve RoboticsThe bot’s big googly eyes and rounded edges have helped it make friends, Parang said, including in Hollywood, where Serve’s robots have become a frequent sight. Last year, producers from the Netflix talk show “Everybody’s Live with John Mulaney” reached out to Serve about featuring a robot on the program.

The bot, dubbed Saymo, has become a recurring character on the show, with at least one critic praising the bot’s “star turn.”“Every celebrity I’ve ever wanted to meet has met our robot,” Parang said. “So I’m very jealous of the robot in that sense.”The anthropomorphism hasn’t worked on everyone. Some pedestrians have complained that the bots are an impediment, particularly for people with disabilities.

And naturally, there are also concerns that the robots could end up taking jobs from human delivery workers. In 2022, a pair of courier unions in the U.K. sounded the alarm about the rise of automation in their industry.Robotics and delivery companies said that currently, demand for delivery outweighs the number of couriers available.

Robots, they said, can help close the gap by handling short-distance orders in dense areas, leaving longer and more lucrative trips for human drivers.They also said that by making delivery more affordable, robots will help increase demand for the service, creating even more opportunities for delivery people.

“We really do believe that the number of human couriers and delivery robots are going to continue to grow side by side for quite a long time,” said Jensen of Uber.For restaurants in big cities, the bots do present some advantages over human delivery people. At 16-unit Sweetfin, Coco’s delivery bots typically complete deliveries faster than drivers, said Cohen.

Even though they’re physically slower than cars, they get a head start because they linger outside the restaurant, ready to go as soon as an employee loads in a meal.“That’s just a benefit of utilizing the technology. We’re not waiting for drivers to show up,” Cohen said. This is important for Sweetfin, whose fresh poke bowls are best consumed ASAP.

Long-term, the potential cost savings created by robot delivery could have an even bigger impact for the brand, where about a quarter of sales come from delivery. Today, the restaurant pays about $3.99 or $4.99 per Coco delivery, Cohen said, which is slightly less than the cost of regular third-party deliveries.

But it is still far from Coco’s stated target of $1 per delivery.To get there, “the cost to produce the robots has to be insanely cheap, and they’d have to be insanely efficient,” completing many deliveries per hour to generate enough revenue to pay themselves off, Cohen said.“Again, I’m a supporter,” he said.

“I’m just asking questions.”Rash said Coco is “well on our way” to hitting the $1 benchmark and believes it can get there in a matter of a few years. Supply is growing, manufacturing costs are coming down, and demand is increasing thanks to third-party delivery networks. “So then the key enabler is, you need the level of autonomy to be really high, and I think that’s a really easy line to extrapolate with the kind of progress we’ve had in the industry lately,” Rash said.

“It’s just a matter of time and data before that happens.”But there’s another, more fundamental obstacle standing between delivery bots and mass adoption, Campbell said: Getting into new markets. Every city has its own regulatory, labor and business landscapes to navigate, not to mention the streets themselves.

Support teams have to be established along with restaurant and delivery partnerships. All of that takes time and money.Campbell said he’d like to see cities doing more to support the growth of delivery robots by changing zoning rules or offering subsidies, especially given the bots’ potential to improve quality of life by easing traffic and pollution.

“It would help drive up the ability to supply the market, and that demand there would ultimately help lower the cost,” he said. “Right now, they have to price in the fact that they can’t produce 10,000 units if they don’t have 10,000 cities or places or streets for them to go.”Uber is currently supporting robotic delivery in 10 markets, and Jensen acknowledged that the policy backdrop has something to do with where it has chosen to go live.

But she has no doubt that automated delivery will continue to rumble through roadblocks over the next few years. “We’re so early on the scaling side, and the gates that we have to continue to move through are adoption, both on the customer side and the restaurant side,” she said. “I think it’ll become much more the norm.

Less early adopter, more mass adoption and appeal.”

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